Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
27'
27'
Colman Escobar D. J.
56'
56'
Sub
Lezcano R. In: Sandoval H.
Out: Lezcano R.
56'
56'
Sub
Ortiz R. In: Franco Zayas A. F.
Out: Ortiz R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Olimpia Asuncion have won more games recently than Nacional Asuncion.
- Nacional Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 16%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Colman Escobar D. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Santa C. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 36 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nacional Asuncion scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Olimpia Asuncion let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nacional Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS Olimpia Asuncion
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Asuncion
(Away) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Cristobal Colon FC
3 : 5 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
