Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
8'
8'
Vargas S.
9'
9'
Wlk A.
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Ramirez Antunez R. C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Asuncion taking it.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
3:2
Apr 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
2:2
Nov 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Santa C. R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bailone I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Recoleta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Nacional Asuncion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS Recoleta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
29 Jul
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 7
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
11 Aug
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Recoleta
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3 Recoleta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
