Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico 
AI Match Summary
Nacional Asuncion play Recoleta in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Recoleta averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 2, Recoleta won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.29 for Recoleta. This points to a Nacional Asuncion double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nacional Asuncion picked up more points recently compared to Recoleta.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 1.29 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.71 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Recoleta Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Recoleta let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Nacional Asuncion went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Recoleta lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |