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Nacional MG vs Tombense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Nacional MG and Tombense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nacional MG
22%
Draws
60%
Tombense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tombense haven't matched Nacional MG's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tombense a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 18%
Tombense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional MG Tombense
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 16
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2014 Mineiro
Nacional MG vs Tombense
1:0
Feb 23, 2013 Mineiro
Tombense vs Nacional MG
1:0
Mar 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Tombense
1:0
Feb 24, 2011 Mineiro 2
Tombense vs Nacional MG
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional MG 20 / 100
Tombense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional MG Tombense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Tombense let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Nacional MG has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tombense
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional MG

(Home)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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Tombense

(Away)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
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