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Nacional MG vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Nacional MG and URT finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nacional MG
40%
Draws
29%
URT
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Nacional MG on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nacional MG have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 20%
URT Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional MG URT
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Mineiro
Nacional MG vs URT
2:0
Apr 18, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs URT
4:3
Apr 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
URT vs Nacional MG
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional MG 32 / 100
URT 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional MG URT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Nacional MG's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: URT registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

URT has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS URT
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%