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Nacional PB vs Auto Esporte Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Gliniedson In: de Melo Filho J.
Out: Gliniedson
8'
Lencina K.
10'
Rafael Tchuca

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Nacional PB and Auto Esporte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nacional PB
35%
Draws
42%
Auto Esporte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Auto Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Auto Esporte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Auto Esporte are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nacional PB have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 14%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Auto Esporte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.31 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Auto Esporte
3:1
Jan 24, 2023 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Auto Esporte
2:1
Mar 21, 2018 Paraibano
Auto Esporte vs Nacional PB
1:1
Mar 11, 2018 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Auto Esporte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lencina K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Auto Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Ray Sape
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 23 / 100
Auto Esporte 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Auto Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auto Esporte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nacional PB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Auto Esporte conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Auto Esporte
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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Auto Esporte

(Away)
30 Sept
Auto Esporte
4 : 0
Picuiense
27 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
1 : 3
Auto Esporte
23 Sept
Auto Esporte
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)