Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional PB vs Confianca PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Nacional PB Logo

Nacional PB

4 - 4
FT
Confianca PB Logo

Confianca PB

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Abnner Oliveira
15' Event
Anderson Montanha
19' Event
Cezar J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Nacional PB and Confianca PB finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nacional PB
30%
Draws
35%
Confianca PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Confianca PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Confianca PB
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Confianca PB
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Abnner Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renezinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Confianca PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson Montanha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cezar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 41 / 100
Confianca PB 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Confianca PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Nacional PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Confianca PB conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nacional PB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Confianca PB
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

Confianca PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Confianca PB
01 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 0
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)