Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional PB vs Perilima

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraibano 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Breno
55'
Breno
80' Event
Gabriel

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraibano 2021 game between Nacional PB and Perilima finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Nacional PB
30%
Draws
0%
Perilima
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Perilima haven't matched Nacional PB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nacional PB's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 16%
Perilima Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Perilima
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2021 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Perilima
1:1
Jul 28, 2020 Paraibano
Perilima vs Nacional PB
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Perilima
1:1
Feb 27, 2019 Paraibano
Perilima vs Nacional PB
1:3
Jan 27, 2019 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Perilima
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Perilima Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 84 / 100
Perilima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Perilima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perilima conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Perilima has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nacional PB found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 7

Perilima

(Away)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 7 5 1 1 7:1 16
2 Botafogo PB 7 4 3 0 14:5 15
3 Campinense 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
4 Treze PB 7 2 2 3 7:6 8
5 Sao Paulo Crystal 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
6 Atletico Cajazeirense 7 1 3 3 8:15 6
7 Nacional PB 7 0 4 3 5:8 4
8 Perilima 7 0 4 3 8:14 4
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2021 (Play Offs)