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Nacional Potosi vs Academia del Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pena S.
Assist: Tobar T.
46'
Sub
Paniagua E. In: Figueroa L.
Out: Paniagua E.
53'
Rojas J.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Nacional Potosi and Academia del Balompie finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional Potosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nacional Potosi
15%
Draws
20%
Academia del Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Potosi come out ahead of Academia del Balompie on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Potosi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nacional Potosi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 20%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Academia del Balompie
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
2:0
Dec 8, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
4:2
Oct 3, 2025 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Nacional Potosi
1:3
Jul 7, 2025 Division Profesional
Academia del Balompie vs Nacional Potosi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomianovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Academia del Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 85 / 100
Academia del Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Academia del Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Academia del Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Nacional Potosi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS Academia del Balompie
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3
Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Academia del Balompie

(Away)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 21 7 3 11 35:51 24
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 21 5 3 13 27:42 18
15 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)