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Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Melgar C. A.
Assist: Romero D.
28'
Paz L.
32'
Torren M.

AI Match Summary

Bolivar in this Copa Pacena matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nacional Potosi
28%
Draws
22%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nacional Potosi haven't matched Bolivar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nacional Potosi a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 15%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Bolivar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Dec 22, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar
0:2
Dec 5, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
5:2
Jul 10, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgar C. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 48 / 100
Bolivar 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Bolivar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bolivar conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nacional Potosi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS Bolivar
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
GV San Jose-
TBD-
Nacional Potosi4
Oriente Petrolero2
Guabira-
TBD-
Aurora3
The Strongest4
Bolivar-
TBD-
San Antonio Bulo Bulo4
Always Ready3
Real Oruro-
TBD-
Blooming3
Club Universitario de Vinto1
Quarter-finals
GV San Jose3
Nacional Potosi4
Guabira4
The Strongest5
Bolivar9
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1
Real Oruro3
Blooming4
Semi-finals
Nacional Potosi3
The Strongest1
Bolivar6
Blooming1
Final
Nacional Potosi4
Bolivar3