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Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Nacional Potosi Logo

Nacional Potosi

2 - 0
FT
Real Oruro Logo

Real Oruro

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Medina K.
Assist: Pena S.
46'
Sub
Hoyos D. In: Baldomar O.
Out: Hoyos D.
53'
Sub
Montenegro J. In: Garcia S.
Out: Montenegro J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nacional Potosi
20%
Draws
33%
Real Oruro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional Potosi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nacional Potosi a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Potosi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Oruro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 20%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Real Oruro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro
2:0
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi
0:2
Jul 20, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro
1:4
Dec 11, 2025 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tobar T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Real Oruro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 85 / 100
Real Oruro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Real Oruro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nacional Potosi scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Oruro conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nacional Potosi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS Real Oruro
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3
Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Real Oruro

(Away)
10 Oct
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 3
Real Oruro
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 2
Always Ready
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)