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Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Hoyos D.
23'
Villegas K.
36' Event
Fernandez W.
Assist: Igor Soares

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nacional Potosi
20%
Draws
40%
Real Potosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Potosi come out ahead of Real Potosi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Potosi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Potosi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Potosi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 20%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Real Potosi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi
0:1
Sep 20, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
2:2
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Real Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 28 / 100
Real Potosi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Real Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Real Potosi conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Nacional Potosi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS Real Potosi
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3
Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Real Potosi

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Potosi
4 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)