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Nacional Potosi vs Vaca Diez

Bolivia Bolivia

League Cup 2023 Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Mizael Monteiro
17'
Parada F.
25'
Parada F.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup 2023 game between Nacional Potosi and Vaca Diez finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional Potosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nacional Potosi
6%
Draws
4%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaca Diez haven't matched Nacional Potosi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nacional Potosi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in League Cup 2023 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nacional Potosi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 68%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Vaca Diez
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Vaca Diez
5:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Vaca Diez
6:1
Apr 27, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Nacional Potosi
5:2
Mar 4, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Nacional Potosi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Prost M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuellar V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vaca Diez Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 95 / 100
Vaca Diez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Vaca Diez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Vaca Diez let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Nacional Potosi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolivar1080224:724
2Jorge Wilstermann1052320:1117
3Royal Pari1041514:1513
4Libertad Gran Mamore1041510:1713
5Tomayapo103347:1312
6Oriente Petrolero101367:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora83415:413
2The Strongest833210:612
3Guabira83239:711
4Atletico Palmaflor82425:510
5Santa Cruz81344:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blooming1071216:822
2Always Ready1043320:1715
3Club Universitario de Vinto1043317:1715
4Nacional Potosi1033420:1712
5Vaca Diez1040614:2112
6Independiente1022610:178