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Nacional PR vs AA Iguacu Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Nacional PR Logo

Nacional PR

3 - 1
FT
AA Iguacu Logo

AA Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Luz da Silva Neto J.
11' Event
Nixon
23' Event
Dos Santos G. A. P.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacional PR in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Nacional PR
35%
Draws
40%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AA Iguacu lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PR.
  • AA Iguacu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nacional PR Clean Sheet 20%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PR AA Iguacu
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs AA Iguacu
3:1
Jun 16, 2024 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Nacional PR
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Luz da Silva Neto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raphael Stard
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Nixon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PR 28 / 100
AA Iguacu 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PR AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Iguacu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nacional PR scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Nacional PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AA Iguacu conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PR VS AA Iguacu
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PR

(Home)
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
12 Apr
Nacional PR
1 : 4
Paranavai-PR
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AA Iguacu

(Away)
26 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
0 : 0
AA Iguacu
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)