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Nacional PR vs Galo Maringa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Leandro Cordova
43' Event
Raphael Luz
51' Event
Iruan

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense 2 2025 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nacional PR
20%
Draws
0%
Galo Maringa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Galo Maringa lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PR.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Nacional PR taking it.
  • Galo Maringa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Galo Maringa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nacional PR Clean Sheet 68%
Galo Maringa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PR Galo Maringa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Nacional PR
5:0
Jun 28, 2025 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs Galo Maringa
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Nacional PR
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael Luz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andre Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Galo Maringa Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Cordova
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iruan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PR 95 / 100
Galo Maringa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PR Galo Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Galo Maringa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nacional PR scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Galo Maringa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PR VS Galo Maringa
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PR

(Home)
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
12 Apr
Nacional PR
1 : 4
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 7

Galo Maringa

(Away)
07 Feb
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
01 Feb
Galo Maringa
0 : 5
Maringa FC
24 Jan
Athletico-PR
4 : 1
Galo Maringa
20 Jan
Galo Maringa
1 : 4
Maringa FC
17 Jan
Londrina
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Toledo 0
Galo Maringa 10
Nacional PR 2
Patriotas 1
Laranja Mecanica 4
Paranavai-PR 5
Batel 2
Foz do Iguacu 5
Semi-finals
Galo Maringa 7
Nacional PR 2
Paranavai-PR 2
Foz do Iguacu 3
Final
Galo Maringa 5
Foz do Iguacu 3