Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2023

Nacional SP

1 - 1

Jacarei FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Nacional SP

33%

Draws

27%

Jacarei FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nacional SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Jacarei FC have won more games recently than Nacional SP.
Win probability leans Nacional SP's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Nacional SP Clean Sheet 19%

Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional SP	Jacarei FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	8	11
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A4

Nacional SP vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Nacional SP

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A4

Nacional SP vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Aug 12, 2023 Paulista A4

Nacional SP vs Jacarei FC

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 6, 2023 Paulista A4

Jacarei FC vs Nacional SP

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP 40 / 100

Jacarei FC 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional SP Jacarei FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Nacional SP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nacional SP scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Jacarei FC let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional SP VS Jacarei FC

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Sao Joao	6	2	4	0	5:3	10
2	Nacional SP	6	2	3	1	4:4	9
3	XV de Jau	6	2	1	3	5:5	7
4	Jacarei FC	6	1	2	3	4:6	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Catanduva FC	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Rio Branco SP	6	2	2	2	9:7	8
3	Penapolense	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Jabaquara	6	0	3	3	3:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Barbarense	6	2	4	0	3:1	10
2	America SP	6	1	4	1	8:8	7
3	Sao-Carlense	6	2	1	3	5:6	7
4	Vocem	6	1	3	2	6:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Francana	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Taquaritinga	6	4	0	2	9:6	12
3	SKA Brasil	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
4	Independente SP	6	0	0	6	3:11	0