Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional SP W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional SP W play Santos W in the Paulista Women 2010. Santos W are favorites here. Recently, Nacional SP W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. Santos W averaged 2.42 goals scored and 0.98 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional SP W won 0, Santos W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Nacional SP W and 1.86 for Santos W. This points to a Santos W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Nacional SP W
15%
Draws
68%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional SP W picked up more points recently compared to Santos W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Nacional SP W Clean Sheet 10%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional SP W Santos W
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 5 26
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.67 2.42
Goals Conceded 3.27 0.98

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2021 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Nacional SP W
4:0
Oct 18, 2020 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Nacional SP W
3:0
Jun 19, 2010 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Nacional SP W
2:0
Apr 24, 2010 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs Santos W
0:9

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP W 17 / 100
Santos W 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional SP W Santos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Santos W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacional SP W attacking → ← attacking Santos W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional SP W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Santos W let in goals in 65% of their last 48 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Nacional SP W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santos W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 88
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771