Sport Picks

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Nacional Uberaba vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa Real in this Mineiro 3 2022 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nacional Uberaba
30%
Draws
41%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Real lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Uberaba.
  • Nacional Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Villa Real arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Villa Real, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 14%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Villa Real
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Villa Real
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 75 / 100
Villa Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Villa Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Nacional Uberaba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Villa Real
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Uberaba

(Home)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
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Villa Real

(Away)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes 0
America TO 5
TBD -
Valeriodoce -
Santarritense 2
Novo Esporte 5
TBD -
North Esporte Clube -
Nacional Uberaba 0
Villa Real 2
TBD -
Itabirito -
Mamore 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
TBD -
Araxa -
Quarter-finals
America TO 1
Valeriodoce 1
Novo Esporte 2
North Esporte Clube 3
Villa Real 1
Itabirito 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 2
Araxa 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 0
North Esporte Clube 1
Itabirito 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube 5
Final
North Esporte Clube 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1