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Nacional Uberaba vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa Real in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nacional Uberaba
11%
Draws
9%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Real lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Uberaba.
  • Nacional Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 14%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Villa Real
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Villa Real
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 75 / 100
Villa Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Villa Real

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Nacional Uberaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Villa Real let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Villa Real
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes0
America TO5
TBD-
Valeriodoce-
Santarritense2
Novo Esporte5
TBD-
North Esporte Clube-
Nacional Uberaba0
Villa Real2
TBD-
Itabirito-
Mamore1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
TBD-
Araxa-
Quarter-finals
America TO1
Valeriodoce1
Novo Esporte2
North Esporte Clube3
Villa Real1
Itabirito1
Coimbra Esporte Clube2
Araxa1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce0
North Esporte Clube1
Itabirito3
Coimbra Esporte Clube5
Final
North Esporte Clube1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1