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Nacka FC vs Fittja IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Messaoudi M.
51' Event
Yarar P.
62' Event
Svensson Palmer H.

AI Match Summary

Nacka FC in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacka FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nacka FC
6%
Draws
90%
Fittja IF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fittja IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacka FC lately — more wins on the board than Fittja IF.
  • Model gives Fittja IF a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%
Fittja IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Fittja IF
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Fittja IF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svensson Palmer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fittja IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Messaoudi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 10 / 100
Fittja IF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Fittja IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacka FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Fittja IF let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Fittja IF has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Fittja IF
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337