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Nacka FC vs Forward

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Eriksson S.
54' Event
Turkan E.
85' Event
Andersson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Nacka FC and Forward finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nacka FC
15%
Draws
39%
Forward
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacka FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Forward carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nacka FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 15%
Forward Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Forward
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Forward vs Nacka FC
0:1
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Forward
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Forward Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turkan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 35 / 100
Forward 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Forward

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacka FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Forward has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nacka FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Forward
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacka FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
28 Aug
Farsta
4 : 1
Nacka FC
22 Aug
Forward
0 : 1
Nacka FC
Page 1 of 6

Forward

(Away)
19 Sept
Forward
2 : 0
Lindo FF
13 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Forward
06 Sept
Forward
1 : 2
Farsta
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Forward
0 : 1
Nacka FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 21 13 4 4 47:32 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 21 11 3 7 49:38 36
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
12 Syrianska 21 5 5 11 30:48 20
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 21 4 3 14 22:60 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)