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Nacka FC vs Forward

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Eriksson S.
54' Event
Turkan E.
85' Event
Andersson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Nacka FC and Forward finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nacka FC
6%
Draws
90%
Forward
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forward

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Forward carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Forward taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%
Forward Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Forward
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Forward
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Forward Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turkan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 10 / 100
Forward 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Forward

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Forward conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nacka FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Forward lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Forward
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337