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Nacka FC vs Karlslund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

18' Event
Salmon J.
25' Event
Bemacce N.
32' Event
Hussein O. D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Nacka FC and Karlslund finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlslund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nacka FC
30%
Draws
37%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karlslund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nacka FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Karlslund's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 16%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Karlslund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Karlslund
1:4
May 24, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nacka FC
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nacka FC
1:2
May 28, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Karlslund
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Karlslund Compare

Top Goalscorer Bemacce N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussein O. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 28 / 100
Karlslund 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Karlslund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlslund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacka FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Karlslund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nacka FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Karlslund
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacka FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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Karlslund

(Away)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
27 Sept
Karlslund
2 : 2
Forward
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 51:27 49
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 62:50 43
6 Ragsved 25 12 6 7 49:40 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 44:37 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 29:30 31
11 Nacka FC 25 8 3 14 31:49 27
12 Syrianska 25 7 5 13 39:54 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 33:52 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)