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Nadroga vs Ba

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Naidu P.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Ali F. F.
90' Event
Nagatalevu P.

AI Match Summary

Ba in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Nadroga
15%
Draws
71%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Nadroga.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Ba taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nadroga Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadroga Ba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.8
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Nadroga vs Ba
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
5:2
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Nadroga vs Ba
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadroga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali F. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nagatalevu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadroga 10 / 100
Ba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadroga Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Nadroga scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Nadroga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nadroga VS Ba
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadroga

(Home)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Nadroga
1 : 0
Nasinu
19 Jul
Rewa
6 : 0
Nadroga
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Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)