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Nadroga vs Nasinu

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
Nadroga Logo

Nadroga

1 - 0
FT
Nasinu Logo

Nasinu

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Tuicakau T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nadroga and Nasinu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nadroga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nadroga
15%
Draws
42%
Nasinu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadroga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Nadroga haven't matched Nasinu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nasinu a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nadroga Clean Sheet 10%
Nasinu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadroga Nasinu
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.22 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Nadroga vs Nasinu
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Nasinu vs Nadroga
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Nasinu vs Nadroga
6:3
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Nadroga vs Nasinu
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Nasinu vs Nadroga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadroga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuicakau T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nasinu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadroga 14 / 100
Nasinu 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadroga Nasinu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nasinu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nasinu conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Nadroga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Nasinu has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nadroga VS Nasinu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadroga

(Home)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Nadroga
1 : 0
Nasinu
19 Jul
Rewa
6 : 0
Nadroga
Page 1 of 7

Nasinu

(Away)
15 Aug
Nasinu
0 : 2
Navua
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadroga
1 : 0
Nasinu
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
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