Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Birzebbuga lately — more wins on the board than Nadur.
- Nadur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Birzebbuga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Birzebbuga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nadur Clean Sheet 13%
Birzebbuga Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nadur | Birzebbuga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2025 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Birzebbuga
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nadur 48 / 100
Birzebbuga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nadur Birzebbuga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nadur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Birzebbuga lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Nadur's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Birzebbuga let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nadur VS Birzebbuga
0 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nadur
(Home) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
19 Nov
Nadur
7 : 1 Vittoriosa
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0 Oratory
Page 1 of 3
Birzebbuga
(Away) 19 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 3 Valletta
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2 Hamrun
05 Sept
Balzan FC
3 : 0 Birzebbuga
30 Aug
Birzebbuga
1 : 2 Sliema
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0 Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Balzan FC
3 : 0 Birzebbuga
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0 Birzebbuga
17 Jul
Mosta FC
0 : 4 Birzebbuga
03 May
Melita
0 : 3 Birzebbuga
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2 Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
