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Nadur vs Senglea Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Nadur Logo

Nadur

2 - 3
FT
Senglea Logo

Senglea

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Diwoto Junior D.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Barbosa M.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Xuereb I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Senglea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nadur
15%
Draws
21%
Senglea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Senglea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Senglea a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senglea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nadur Clean Sheet 11%
Senglea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadur Senglea
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 4
Draws 0 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 2.53 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2021 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Senglea
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadur Compare

Top Goalscorer Xuereb I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Senglea Compare

Top Goalscorer Diwoto Junior D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 27 / 100
Senglea 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadur Senglea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senglea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senglea let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Nadur found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Senglea registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Senglea
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Senglea

(Away)
12 Apr
Sirens
2 : 1
Senglea
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
30 Mar
Senglea
1 : 2
Zebbug
12 Mar
Valletta
1 : 0
Senglea
09 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0
Senglea
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -