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Nadur vs Sirens Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Nadur Logo

Nadur

Sun, Jan 14, 2024
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Sirens Logo

Sirens

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Barbosa M.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Asare B.
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sirens advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nadur
15%
Draws
49%
Sirens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sirens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Sirens on wins alone.
  • Sirens are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sirens, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nadur Clean Sheet 10%
Sirens Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadur Sirens
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Sirens
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sirens Compare

Top Goalscorer Asare B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 10 / 100
Sirens 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadur Sirens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nadur's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sirens has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sirens's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Sirens
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Sirens

(Away)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
19 Apr
Birzebbuga
3 : 2
Sirens
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
06 Apr
Sirens
0 : 1
Balzan FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1