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Naesby vs ASA Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Naesby Logo

Naesby

Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
ASA Aarhus Logo

ASA Aarhus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naesby host ASA Aarhus in the 3rd Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Naesby have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against ASA Aarhus's 1.25 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor ASA Aarhus slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Naesby to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Naesby
20%
Draws
16%
ASA Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of ASA Aarhus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Naesby a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Naesby Clean Sheet 18%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby ASA Aarhus
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3rd Division
ASA Aarhus vs Naesby
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 58 / 100
ASA Aarhus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby ASA Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naesby scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: ASA Aarhus conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

Difficult form: ASA Aarhus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS ASA Aarhus
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
31 Oct
Bronshoj
2 : 1
Naesby
24 Oct
Naesby
1 : 2
Holbaek
17 Oct
Naesby
2 : 2
Vanlose
10 Oct
BK Frem
2 : 0
Naesby
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
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ASA Aarhus

(Away)
31 Oct
ASA Aarhus
2 : 2
BK Frem
24 Oct
Vanlose
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
10 Oct
Helsingor
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 14 9 2 3 32:20 29
2 Bronshoj 14 8 4 2 29:17 28
3 Vanlose 14 7 6 1 20:11 27
4 Helsingor 14 7 3 4 22:17 24
5 Horsholm-Usserod 14 6 4 4 32:24 22
6 Naesby 14 5 3 6 24:22 18
7 Ishoj IF 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
8 ASA Aarhus 14 5 2 7 18:21 17
9 Sundby 14 5 1 8 23:24 16
10 BK Frem 14 3 6 5 23:23 15
11 Holstebro 14 4 1 9 18:37 13
12 Ringsted 14 1 3 10 17:37 6
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)