Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naesby vs Horsens

Denmark Denmark

Betano Pokalen ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Justinussen A.
38'
Kolskogen O.
40'
Kjaergaard A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Naesby
15%
Draws
59%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naesby lately — more wins on the board than Horsens.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Horsens taking it.
  • Naesby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Horsens, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Horsens have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naesby Clean Sheet 13%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Horsens
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.27 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Naesby vs Horsens
2:3
Aug 12, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Naesby vs Horsens
1:2
Oct 7, 2020 Betano Pokalen
Naesby vs Horsens
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Schou Jorgensen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomaselli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Horsens Compare

Top Goalscorer Justinussen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bonde J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 19 / 100
Horsens 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Horsens let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Naesby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Horsens
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Horsens

(Away)
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Horsens
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
01 Sept
Lyseng
0 : 4
Horsens
28 Aug
Horsens
2 : 3
Viborg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hedensted 0
Marienlyst 5
Tst Fodbold 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Fremad Amager 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aalborg KFUM 1
Fuglebakken 3
Hobro 0
Vendsyssel FF 4
Viby 0
ASA Aarhus 1
TBD -
Randers FC -
Sydkysten 3
Ishoj IF 1
Ringsted 0
BK Frem 1
Vaerlose 0
Saby 2
Handelsstandens Boldklub 0
Roskilde 5
Maribo BK 0
Skjold 6
Brondby Strand 1
Espergaerde 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 4
Nakskov 1
Rudersdal 1
Hellerup 5
Odder 2
Skive 3
Bogense 0
Esbjerg 6
Vatanspor 4
Norresundby 1
Holstebro 1
Aalborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 6
Skanderborg 0
Aarhus Black Vipers 0
Brabrand 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 3
Morud 2
Kolding BK 0
Naesby 3
Lyseng 3
Vejgaard 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Bronshoj 1
Koge 0
Holbaek 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Aabybro 1
Thisted FC 9
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Tarup-Paarup 0
Vejle 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Boldklubben FIX 1
Frederikssund 3
Slagelse 0
Sundby 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Kjellerup 0
Bronderslev 1
Glamsbjerg 0
Kolding IF 8
SfB-Oure 0
Fredericia 6
TBD -
Odense -
Birkerod 2
Allerod 4
Koge Nord 1
Vanlose 4
Gentofte-Vangede 0
Avarta 2
Vaeggerlose 0
Hillerod 12
Nykobing 2
Boldklubben 1893 0
Naestved IF 1
Hvidovre IF 0
Varde 1
OKS Odense 2
Bredballe 0
Middelfart 2
Vallensbaek 1
Helsingor 4
IF Foroyar 0
Horsholm-Usserod 2
Aabenraa 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 2
Ringkobing 0
Aarhus Fremad 4
Vigerslev 0
Skovshoved 1
Frederiksholm 1
Tarnby FF 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/32-finals
Marienlyst 1
VSK Aarhus 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Lyngby 1
Fuglebakken 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
ASA Aarhus 0
Randers FC 4
Sydkysten 1
BK Frem 2
Saby 0
Roskilde 5
Skjold 3
Espergaerde 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 1
Hellerup 4
Skive 1
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 2
Aalborg 1
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 1
Brabrand 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 0
Naesby 5
Lyseng 0
Horsens 4
Bronshoj 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Thisted FC 0
Sonderjyske 2
Vejle 3
Silkeborg 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Frederikssund 2
Sundby 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Bronderslev 1
Kolding IF 4
Fredericia 1
Odense 2
Allerod 1
Vanlose 4
Avarta 0
Hillerod 4
Nykobing 2
Naestved IF 1
OKS Odense 0
Middelfart 1
Helsingor 2
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
Skovshoved 2
Tarnby FF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/16-finals
VSK Aarhus 0
Lyngby 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Randers FC 3
BK Frem 1
Roskilde 2
Skjold 1
Aarhus 6
Hellerup 0
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 0
Nordsjaelland 3
Brabrand 2
Viborg 1
Naesby 2
Horsens 3
AB Copenhagen 3
Sonderjyske 1
Vejle 1
Brondby 2
Sundby 0
Midtjylland 7
Kolding IF 1
Odense 2
Vanlose 2
Hillerod 1
Nykobing 6
Middelfart 5
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Aarhus Fremad 2
Skovshoved 0
FC Copenhagen 3
1/8-finals
Lyngby -
Randers FC -
Roskilde -
Aarhus -
Esbjerg -
Nordsjaelland -
Brabrand -
Horsens -
AB Copenhagen -
Brondby -
Midtjylland -
Odense -
Vanlose -
Nykobing -
Aarhus Fremad -
FC Copenhagen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -