Sport Picks
Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Denmark
3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense 
Match Events
10'
10'
Schou Jorgensen M.
42'
42'
Schou Jorgensen M.
51'
51'
Schou Jorgensen M.
AI Match Summary
The 3rd Division game between Naesby and Horsholm-Usserod finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Horsholm-Usserod on wins alone.
- Naesby are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Naesby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Naesby Clean Sheet 20%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naesby | Horsholm-Usserod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod
4:3
Jun 13, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby
2:4
May 9, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod
5:0
Mar 28, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naesby Compare
Top Goalscorer Schou Jorgensen M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Jorgensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Horsholm-Usserod Compare
Top Goalscorer Khalid A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kirkeby G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naesby 42 / 100
Horsholm-Usserod 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naesby Horsholm-Usserod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Horsholm-Usserod let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Naesby scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Naesby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Naesby VS Horsholm-Usserod
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Naesby
(Home) 10 Oct
BK Frem
2 : 0 Naesby
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0 Holstebro
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2 Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1 Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3 Horsens
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0 Holstebro
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1 Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3 Horsens
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3 Horsholm-Usserod
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0 Bronshoj
Page 1 of 3
Horsholm-Usserod
(Away) 10 Oct
Ringsted
2 : 4 Horsholm-Usserod
03 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1 Helsingor
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1 Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1 Vanlose
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2 Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ringsted
2 : 4 Horsholm-Usserod
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1 Horsholm-Usserod
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3 Horsholm-Usserod
25 Aug
Helsingor
2 : 5 Horsholm-Usserod
22 Aug
Sundby
4 : 4 Horsholm-Usserod
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbaek | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 2 | Bronshoj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanlose | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Naesby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Horsholm-Usserod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:26 | 13 |
| 9 | BK Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishoj IF | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15:31 | 5 |
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)
