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Naesby vs Lindholm

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Jacobsen A.
40' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Naesby in this 2nd Division West 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Naesby
15%
Draws
42%
Lindholm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Naesby have won more games recently than Lindholm.
  • Model gives Naesby a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division West 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Naesby have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Naesby Clean Sheet 20%
Lindholm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Lindholm
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2012 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Lindholm
5:1
Sep 24, 2011 2nd Division West
Lindholm vs Naesby
0:5
May 14, 2011 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Lindholm
3:0
Oct 23, 2010 2nd Division West
Lindholm vs Naesby
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacobsen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Lindholm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 58 / 100
Lindholm 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Lindholm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lindholm has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lindholm lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
25 Aug
Munkebo BK
0 : 5
Naesby
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Lindholm

(Away)
23 Sept
Lindholm
0 : 1
Esbjerg
12 Aug
Lindholm
4 : 3
Thisted FC
29 Jul
Lindholm
2 : 4
Thisted FC
28 Aug
Esbjerg IF 92
4 : 3
Lindholm
14 Aug
Gug
0 : 2
Lindholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fyn 30 23 3 4 71:21 72
2 Naesby 30 22 4 4 77:29 70
3 Varde 30 14 13 3 42:27 55
4 Thisted FC 30 15 8 7 64:39 53
5 Aarhus Fremad 30 12 10 8 59:43 46
6 Marienlyst 30 12 9 9 57:55 45
7 Svendborg 30 10 13 7 50:39 43
8 Skovbakken 30 13 2 15 44:50 41
9 Nykobing 30 10 8 12 47:58 38
10 Kjellerup 30 9 9 12 39:43 36
11 Otterup 30 8 9 13 42:64 33
12 Brabrand 30 8 8 14 36:40 32
13 Aarup 30 7 8 15 38:66 29
14 Lindholm 30 7 7 16 32:62 28
15 Skjold 30 5 6 19 38:60 21
16 Viby 30 4 5 21 27:67 17
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2011/2012 (Play Offs)