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Naesby vs Marienlyst

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
(Penalty)
36' Event
(Penalty)
38' Event

AI Match Summary

Naesby in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Naesby
20%
Draws
23%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Marienlyst haven't matched Naesby's recent run of results.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Naesby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Marienlyst
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.68 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
5:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
6:2
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
3:4
Feb 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 83 / 100
Marienlyst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Marienlyst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Naesby stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Marienlyst
2.75 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
25 Aug
Munkebo BK
0 : 5
Naesby
22 Aug
Ishoj IF
1 : 5
Naesby
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0
Bronshoj
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Marienlyst

(Away)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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