Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
3 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naestved HG W host Aalborg W in the B-Liga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Naestved HG W have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Aalborg W's 1.21 scored and 2.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Naestved HG W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Naestved HG W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Naestved HG W
20%
Draws
23%
Aalborg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naestved HG W lately — more wins on the board than Aalborg W.
  • Model gives Naestved HG W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Naestved HG W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 19%
Aalborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Aalborg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
3:0
Oct 3, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:4
Aug 15, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:7
Apr 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 85 / 100
Aalborg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Aalborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Naestved HG W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Naestved HG W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Aalborg W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved HG W

(Home)
09 Oct
Naestved HG W
3 : 0
Aalborg W
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
Page 1 of 6

Aalborg W

(Away)
09 Oct
Naestved HG W
3 : 0
Aalborg W
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Aalborg W
19 Sept
Aalborg W
0 : 0
Viborg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 B93 W 8 6 0 2 16:10 18
2 Sundby W 8 5 2 1 18:10 17
3 Osterbro IF W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Naestved HG W 8 4 1 3 16:8 13
5 Thisted FC W 8 4 1 3 23:23 13
6 Viborg W 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
7 Aalborg W 8 1 1 6 9:27 4
8 Esbjerg W 8 0 1 7 10:23 1
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Promotion)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Relegation)