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Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lund E.
Assist: Jensen F.
50' Event
Jensen F.
Assist: Lund E.
57' Event
Neumann Andersen K.
Assist: Engholm L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this B-Liga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Naestved HG W
15%
Draws
0%
Esbjerg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naestved HG W lately — more wins on the board than Esbjerg W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Naestved HG W taking it.
  • Regular B-Liga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 68%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Esbjerg W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
1:2
May 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Neumann Andersen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krag-Andersen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Esbjerg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lund E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 95 / 100
Esbjerg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Esbjerg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Esbjerg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Naestved HG W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Esbjerg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved HG W

(Home)
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
06 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 2
Viborg W
29 Aug
Naestved HG W
0 : 1
Osterbro IF W
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Esbjerg W

(Away)
19 Sept
Osterbro IF W
4 : 1
Esbjerg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
05 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Esbjerg W
30 Aug
Esbjerg W
0 : 3
Viborg W
23 Aug
Esbjerg W
1 : 2
Naestved HG W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sundby W 10 8 1 1 26:14 25
2 B93 W 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
3 Naestved HG W 10 5 2 3 22:16 17
4 Viborg W 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
5 Aalborg W 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
6 Esbjerg W 10 0 3 7 13:24 3
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Main)