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Naestved IF vs Horsholm-Usserod

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kisum M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Naestved IF and Horsholm-Usserod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naestved IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naestved IF
30%
Draws
34%
Horsholm-Usserod
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Horsholm-Usserod have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Naestved IF are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Naestved IF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 20%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved IF Horsholm-Usserod
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Horsholm-Usserod vs Naestved IF
0:0
Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Naestved IF vs Horsholm-Usserod
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 36 / 100
Horsholm-Usserod 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved IF Horsholm-Usserod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naestved IF scored in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Horsholm-Usserod has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Naestved IF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS Horsholm-Usserod
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%