Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Naft Bandar Abbas

2 - 1

Navad Urmia

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Pourmohammad A.

69'

Razani I.

70'

Amini M. T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Naft Bandar Abbas and Navad Urmia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Bandar Abbas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Naft Bandar Abbas

Draws

Navad Urmia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naft Bandar Abbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Naft Bandar Abbas carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Naft Bandar Abbas a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 68%

Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naft Bandar Abbas	Navad Urmia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	3
Draws	16	10
Losses	5	17
Goals Scored	0.75	0.13
Goals Conceded	0.5	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Nov 27, 2025 Azadegan League

Naft Bandar Abbas vs Navad Urmia

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pourmohammad A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Razani I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amini M. T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.12

Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Bandar Abbas 95 / 100

Navad Urmia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naft Bandar Abbas Navad Urmia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Navad Urmia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Naft Bandar Abbas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Navad Urmia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naft Bandar Abbas VS Navad Urmia

0.75 Goals Scored 0.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	34	20	9	5	48:17	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	34	19	11	4	41:14	68
3	Sanat Naft	34	16	12	6	37:21	60
4	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	16	12	6	44:22	60
5	Saipa	34	16	11	7	30:18	59
6	Havadar SC	34	11	17	6	32:23	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	34	10	17	7	26:19	47
8	Fard	34	10	16	8	24:15	46
9	Mes Kerman	34	10	15	9	23:18	45
10	Ario Eslamshahr	34	9	16	9	19:18	43
11	Besat Kermanshah	34	9	11	14	25:32	38
12	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	9	10	15	17:34	37
13	Niroye Zamini	34	8	12	14	28:31	36
14	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	34	8	11	15	23:36	35
15	Naft Gachsaran	34	7	14	13	25:41	35
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	34	5	15	14	18:29	30
17	Navad Urmia	34	4	12	18	16:48	24
18	Damash Gilan	34	2	13	19	16:56	19