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Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
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Match Events

55' Event
Ahmadianzadeh R.
64' Event
Firooz F.
87' Event
Ahmadi M.

AI Match Summary

Naft Masjed-Soleyman in this Azadegan League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naft Masjed-Soleyman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
6%
Draws
4%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fajr Sepasi lately — more wins on the board than Naft Masjed-Soleyman.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Naft Masjed-Soleyman taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Masjed-Soleyman Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 15 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Dec 20, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2:0
Feb 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1:0
Sep 2, 2023 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:1
May 9, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Masjed-Soleyman Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmadianzadeh R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmadi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Firooz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Masjed-Soleyman 95 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Naft Masjed-Soleyman stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Fajr Sepasi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Naft Masjed-Soleyman scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Home)
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
12 May
Niroye Zamini
2 : 0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
06 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
30 Apr
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Apr
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
6 : 0
Shahrdari Astara
Page 1 of 6

Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818
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