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Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Fard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mohammadi A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Naft Masjed-Soleyman and Fard finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Masjed-Soleyman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
30%
Draws
28%
Fard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Naft Masjed-Soleyman's 1.19 goals per match outpaces what Fard have produced (0.69).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Naft Masjed-Soleyman taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 68%
Fard Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Masjed-Soleyman Fard
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 14 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.19 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Fard
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Masjed-Soleyman Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Masjed-Soleyman 68 / 100
Fard 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Fard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Masjed-Soleyman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Naft Masjed-Soleyman stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Naft Masjed-Soleyman's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Fard has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naft Masjed-Soleyman VS Fard
1.2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.75
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 7

Fard

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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