Sport Picks

Iraq

Super League 2022/2023

Al Diwaniya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naft Missan play Al Diwaniya in the Super League 2022/2023. Naft Missan are favorites here. Recently, Naft Missan averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Al Diwaniya averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Naft Missan won 2, Al Diwaniya won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 20, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Naft Missan and 0.94 for Al Diwaniya. This points to a Naft Missan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Naft Missan

27%

Draws

12%

Al Diwaniya

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Naft Missan picked up more points recently compared to Al Diwaniya.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Naft Missan Clean Sheet 24%

Al Diwaniya Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naft Missan	Al Diwaniya
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	2
Draws	8	5
Losses	11	23
Goals Scored	1.32	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.29	2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2023 Stars League

Al Diwaniya vs Naft Missan

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Feb 28, 2023 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Diwaniya

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 28, 2022 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Diwaniya

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Dec 22, 2021 Stars League

Al Diwaniya vs Naft Missan

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Feb 28, 2021 Stars League

Al Diwaniya vs Naft Missan

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Diwaniya Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 60 / 100

Al Diwaniya 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naft Missan Al Diwaniya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Missan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Naft Missan & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Naft Missan attacking → ← attacking Al Diwaniya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Al Diwaniya let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Naft Missan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Diwaniya lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 11

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Shorta	38	25	7	6	63:24	82
2	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	23	9	6	62:26	78
3	Al Zawraa	38	18	14	6	50:32	68
4	Al Talaba	38	19	9	10	52:39	66
5	Al Kahraba	38	17	11	10	51:38	62
6	Erbil	38	16	10	12	44:39	58
7	Al Najaf	38	15	11	12	46:41	56
8	Karbala	38	15	11	12	39:34	56
9	Duhok	38	12	16	10	37:39	52
10	Al Karkh	38	13	12	13	40:36	51
11	Newroz	38	14	9	15	45:43	51
12	Naft Missan	38	13	12	13	42:54	51
13	Al-Hudod	38	10	19	9	40:37	49
14	Naft Al-Basra	38	9	16	13	34:40	43
15	Zakho	38	9	15	14	39:42	42
16	Al Naft	38	9	13	16	39:50	40
17	Al-Qassim	38	9	12	17	31:43	39
18	Al Wasat	38	5	21	12	26:34	36
19	Al Sinaa	38	7	7	24	26:54	28
20	Al Diwaniya	38	2	6	30	25:86	12