Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Hanoon R.
90' Event
Jawad M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Naft Missan and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naft Missan
33%
Draws
27%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Naft Missan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Quwa Al Jawiya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 15%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Feb 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
2:1
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
4:2
Dec 16, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Apr 15, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanoon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jawad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 39 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Naft Missan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5
Naft Missan
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
Page 1 of 6

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)