Sport Picks
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Prediction & H2H Stats
Iraq
Stars League 2025/2026 
Match Events
84'
84'
Hanoon R.
90'
90'
Jawad M.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Naft Missan and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naft Missan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Quwa Al Jawiya have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 18%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Missan | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
1:1
May 28, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Feb 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
2:1
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
4:2
Dec 16, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Missan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanoon R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jawad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naft Missan 36 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naft Missan Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Naft Missan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Naft Missan VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Missan
(Home) 17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
20 Aug
Naft Missan
0 : 0 Al Naft
14 Aug
Naft Missan
0 : 0 Al Golan
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Aug
Newroz
3 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
