Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Naft Missan

2 - 1

Baghdad

Our Tip

Match Events

El Keraa K.

41'

Mutar H.

82'

Sioud N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Naft Missan and Baghdad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Missan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Naft Missan

Draws

Baghdad

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Naft Missan come out ahead of Baghdad on wins alone.
Model gives Naft Missan a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%

Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Baghdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naft Missan	Baghdad
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	5
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Baghdad

Possession: 40% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Oct 5, 2025 Stars League

Baghdad vs Naft Missan

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Mar 31, 2024 Stars League

Baghdad vs Naft Missan

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 11, 2023 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Baghdad

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

May 4, 2022 Stars League

Baghdad vs Naft Missan

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutar H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sioud N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Baghdad Compare

Top Goalscorer El Keraa K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 95 / 100

Baghdad 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naft Missan Baghdad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baghdad let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Naft Missan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Naft Missan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Baghdad

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6