Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Naft Missan host Erbil in the Stars League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Naft Missan have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Erbil's 1.69 scored and 0.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Naft Missan have won 0 to Erbil's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.38 xG vs 1.19) point toward Erbil. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Erbil come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
- Model gives Erbil a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Missan | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Naft Missan's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Naft Missan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Erbil let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Missan
(Home)Erbil
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
