Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Missan vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Oueslati H.
Assist: Neto Acara
85' Event
Hussein M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Naft Missan and Newroz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Naft Missan
35%
Draws
45%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newroz come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
  • Newroz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 17%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Newroz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Newroz
0:2
Mar 31, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Naft Missan
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Naft Missan
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Naft Missan
2:2
Dec 11, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Newroz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Oueslati H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussein M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 15 / 100
Newroz 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Naft Missan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Newroz let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Newroz
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)