Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nafta host Aluminij in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nafta have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Aluminij's 0.93 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Nafta slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Nafta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aluminij haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nafta | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Nafta's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Nafta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nafta
(Home)Aluminij
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Koper | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Bravo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 4 | O. Ljubljana | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aluminij | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Celje | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Grosuplje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
