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Nafta vs Krsko Posavje Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Radovic N.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Marosa A.
63' Event
Poredos L.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Nafta and Krsko Posavje finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nafta
15%
Draws
34%
Krsko Posavje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nafta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nafta's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nafta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nafta Clean Sheet 16%
Krsko Posavje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Krsko Posavje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.47 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 2. SNL
Nafta vs Krsko Posavje
4:1
Sep 13, 2025 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Nafta
0:2
Nov 25, 2022 2. SNL
Nafta vs Krsko Posavje
4:2
Aug 12, 2022 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Nafta
1:3
Dec 4, 2021 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Nafta
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poredos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Krsko Posavje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 36 / 100
Krsko Posavje 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Krsko Posavje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krsko Posavje has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nafta scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Krsko Posavje lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Krsko Posavje
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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Krsko Posavje

(Away)
03 Oct
Vrhnika
0 : 0
Krsko Posavje
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 2
Krsko Posavje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)