Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Mura

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Jasaragic A.
21' Event
Zorica J.
Assist: Pihler L.
32' Event
Marosa A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga game between Nafta and Mura finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nafta
20%
Draws
20%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nafta come out ahead of Mura on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nafta taking it.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nafta Clean Sheet 18%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Mura
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
5:2
Dec 3, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Mura vs Nafta
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
4:2
Feb 2, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Nafta
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Trdin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korosec A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 58 / 100
Mura 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nafta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Nafta found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Mura's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Mura
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Mura

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)