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Nafta vs O. Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nafta host O. Ljubljana in the Prva liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nafta have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against O. Ljubljana's 1.37 scored and 1.19 conceded. Head-to-head, Nafta have won 0 to O. Ljubljana's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.38) back Nafta to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nafta
15%
Draws
45%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nafta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors O. Ljubljana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nafta Clean Sheet 17%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs O. Ljubljana
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs O. Ljubljana
0:1
Aug 5, 2024 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 36 / 100
O. Ljubljana 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta O. Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: O. Ljubljana conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Nafta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS O. Ljubljana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
11 Oct
Nafta
1 : 0
Bravo
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
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O. Ljubljana

(Away)
10 Oct
O. Ljubljana
3 : 3
Mura
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 11 6 5 0 21:9 23
2 Koper 11 5 4 2 14:11 19
3 Bravo 11 5 3 3 12:11 18
4 Nafta 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
5 Celje 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
6 O. Ljubljana 11 4 3 4 13:11 15
7 Aluminij 11 3 4 4 16:12 13
8 Grosuplje 11 3 2 6 15:20 11
9 Mura 11 2 4 5 13:24 10
10 Radomlje 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)