Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Radomlje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Nafta Logo

Nafta

3 - 1
FT
Radomlje Logo

Radomlje

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Ikenna D.
46'
Sub
Jasaragic A. In: Vidnyanszky M.
Out: Jasaragic A.
51' Event
Marosa A.
Assist: Zorica J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Nafta
15%
Draws
12%
Radomlje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nafta have won more games recently than Radomlje.
  • Nafta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nafta Clean Sheet 16%
Radomlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Radomlje
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.47 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Radomlje
3:1
Apr 8, 2025 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Nafta
4:1
Feb 7, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Radomlje
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Nafta
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Radomlje
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zorica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Radomlje Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikenna D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 41 / 100
Radomlje 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Radomlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radomlje let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nafta found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Radomlje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Radomlje
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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Radomlje

(Away)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3
Aluminij
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)