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Naftan vs FC Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
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Match Events

28' Event
Dieye M.
Assist: Zherdev G.
46'
Sub
Galimzyanov T. In: Yakovlev V.
Out: Galimzyanov T.
48'
Zherdev G.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Naftan and FC Minsk finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naftan
20%
Draws
40%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Minsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Minsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan FC Minsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:3
May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Naftan
4:2
Aug 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:3
Mar 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Naftan
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubovich E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dieye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 22 / 100
FC Minsk 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Naftan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Minsk conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Naftan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS FC Minsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan

(Home)
10 Oct
Naftan
4 : 1
Belshina
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

FC Minsk

(Away)
10 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Zhodino
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Neman 23 12 4 7 29:20 40
6 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 23 6 7 10 24:28 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 23 4 9 10 18:28 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)