Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Pushnyakov S.
75'
75'
Arkhipov S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with FK Gorodeja advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Gorodeja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Naftan haven't matched FK Gorodeja's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans FK Gorodeja's way, sitting at 90%.
- FK Gorodeja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FK Gorodeja, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and FK Gorodeja have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naftan Clean Sheet 14%
FK Gorodeja Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naftan | FK Gorodeja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Naftan vs FK Gorodeja
0:2
Feb 29, 2020 Club Friendly
FK Gorodeja vs Naftan
4:1
Sep 24, 2017 Vysshaya Liga
FK Gorodeja vs Naftan
2:0
May 15, 2017 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FK Gorodeja
1:0
Aug 20, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
FK Gorodeja vs Naftan
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naftan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
FK Gorodeja Compare
Top Goalscorer Pushnyakov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naftan 10 / 100
FK Gorodeja 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naftan FK Gorodeja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Gorodeja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Naftan scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
FK Gorodeja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Naftan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Naftan VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Naftan
(Home) 19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3 FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0 Naftan
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3 FC Minsk
22 Aug
Naftan
0 : 2 Neman
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4 Dynamo Brest
19 Jun
Naftan
1 : 0 FK Baranovici
Page 1 of 3
FK Gorodeja
(Away) 28 Nov
Isloch Minsk
2 : 2 FK Gorodeja
22 Nov
FK Gorodeja
1 : 4 Dynamo Brest
07 Nov
Slutsk
0 : 1 FK Gorodeja
24 Oct
FK Gorodeja
4 : 0 FK Smolevichi
17 Oct
Neman
0 : 1 FK Gorodeja
Page 1 of 6
28 Nov
Isloch Minsk
2 : 2 FK Gorodeja
07 Nov
Slutsk
0 : 1 FK Gorodeja
17 Oct
Neman
0 : 1 FK Gorodeja
11 Sept
FC Minsk
3 : 0 FK Gorodeja
29 Aug
Naftan
0 : 2 FK Gorodeja
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Pershiy Region 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 15
TBD -
Slutsk -
BGU Minsk 0
FC Gomel 5
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Novaya Pripyat 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 2
FC Slonim 5
TBD -
Neman -
Polotsk 1
Chimik Svetlogorsk 3
TBD -
Rukh Brest -
Energetik-BGATU 2
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Krumkachy -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
BumProm Gomel 0
Dnepr Mogilev 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Kronon Stolbtsy 0
Mikashevichi 6
TBD -
BATE -
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
FK Lida 0
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Stroitel Kapyl 1
Orsha 3
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
FK Baranovici 1
Smorgon 0
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Osipovichi 1
Sputnik 3
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 0
Oshmyany 3
TBD -
Zhodino -
Spartak Shklov 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FK Gorodeja -
Stanles Pinsk 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
TBD -
FK Smolevichi -
1/16-finals
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Slutsk 2
FC Gomel 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 4
FC Slonim 1
Neman 3
Chimik Svetlogorsk 0
Rukh Brest 3
Ostrovets 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 2
Din. Minsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Mikashevichi 0
BATE 5
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 0
Dynamo Brest 3
Orsha 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 6
FK Baranovici 0
Vitebsk 6
Sputnik 3
Belshina 2
Oshmyany 0
Zhodino 5
Naftan 0
FK Gorodeja 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 4
FK Smolevichi 1
1/8-finals
Slutsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Slavia Mozyr 0
Neman 2
Rukh Brest 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 4
BATE 4
Dynamo Brest 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Vitebsk 1
Sputnik 1
Zhodino 4
FK Gorodeja 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Neman 2
FC Minsk 1
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 5
Vitebsk 3
Zhodino 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Semi-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
BATE 5
Zhodino 2
Final
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 2
