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Naftan vs ML Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naftan host ML Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Naftan have averaged 0.96 scored and 2.36 conceded recently, against ML Vitebsk's 1.97 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor ML Vitebsk slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.25, favoring ML Vitebsk. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Naftan
15%
Draws
54%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ML Vitebsk a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ML Vitebsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.96 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.36 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk
0:3
Jul 14, 2024 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 18 / 100
ML Vitebsk 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ML Vitebsk conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Naftan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Naftan scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS ML Vitebsk
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan

(Home)
24 Oct
Naftan
0 : 6
Isloch Minsk
19 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 0
Naftan
10 Oct
Naftan
4 : 1
Belshina
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
28 Oct
Isloch Minsk
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 2
ML Vitebsk
18 Oct
ML Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
15 Oct
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0
Zhodino
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 26 18 4 4 50:22 58
2 ML Vitebsk 26 16 8 2 52:19 56
3 Isloch Minsk 26 16 7 3 48:20 55
4 Dynamo Brest 26 14 5 7 45:26 47
5 Neman 26 13 4 9 32:25 43
6 Vitebsk 26 11 7 8 29:23 40
7 FC Gomel 26 11 7 8 37:27 40
8 FC Minsk 26 10 4 12 33:36 34
9 Zhodino 26 9 6 11 32:35 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 26 8 7 11 33:35 31
11 FK Baranovici 26 7 7 12 27:43 28
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 27 6 9 12 25:44 27
13 Belshina 26 6 6 14 28:47 24
14 BATE 27 4 9 14 19:34 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 26 3 11 12 24:40 20
16 Naftan 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)