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Naftan vs Orsha

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naftan in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naftan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Naftan
20%
Draws
38%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naftan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orsha lately — more wins on the board than Naftan.
  • Model gives Naftan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naftan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
Orsha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan Orsha
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
3:0
Feb 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
5:1
Sep 11, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Orsha
5:0
May 7, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Naftan
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 40 / 100
Orsha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan Orsha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Naftan scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Orsha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS Orsha
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%